东中国海海温的一维模式研究     

秦正坤  孙照渤 《南京气象学院学报》2005,28(4):477-482

根据近海深度浅、热容量小的特点，建立了一个一维能量平衡模式，对东中国海年平均海温进行了模拟。模式较好地模拟出了平均海温的经向分布与纬向分布情况，结果与观测基本相符。同时还检验了模式对海温年际变化的模拟能力，得到了较好的结果。最后简要分析了能量平衡模式应用在近海上的优缺点。  相似文献   

低纬高原雹云识别物元可拓模型及效果检验     

李桂华  金少华 《气象》2005,31(5):17-20

雹云识别是一个多参数的模式识别问题，应用物元可拓思想将单参数雹云识别的不相容性转化为相容性问题。在与成都地区雹云识别的物元可拓模型进行对比后，根据低纬高原地形及气候特点，通过适当增加参数，构造完成低纬高原雹云识别的物元可拓模型，以此进行雹云识别，准确率达86％以上。  相似文献   

区域性地质灾害气象预报方法研究   总被引：8，自引：5，他引：8  

薛建军  徐晶  张芳华  牛若芸  张金艳  杨元琴 《气象》2005,31(10):24-27

从气象的角度，基于对全国地质灾害预警区域的划分，利用历史地质灾害记录以及历史气象资料，分区建立了全国范围的区域气象潜势预报模型，并从2003年6月1日开始投入业务应用。总体预报服务效果较好，收到了较好的社会效益。同时还要进一步加强科学研究，提高科技含量，优化预报模型。  相似文献   

五道梁地区总辐射的年际变化   总被引：10，自引：4，他引：10  

李韧  季国良  杨文 《高原气象》2005,24(2):173-177

利用实测的太阳总辐射通量密度及地气温差资料，建立了月平均地气温差与月平均太阳总辐射通量密度的回归方程，并用该回归方程计算了五道梁地区1980-1993年共14年的月平均总辐射通量密度，分析了该地区总辐射通量密度的年际变化，发现该地区总辐射通量密度具有较明显的6～7年的振荡周期。20世纪后10年年平均总辐射通量密度有增大的趋势。  相似文献   

利用树木年轮重建柴达木地区5～6月地温     

朱西德  秦宁生  李栋梁  王振宇  李林  汪青春 《高原气象》2005,24(3):331-337

依据青海海西德令哈、乌兰的树木年轮资料序列与柴达木地区1962—2001年5～6月份地温资料序列之间较好的同期相关特征，重建了柴达木地区5～6月份地面Ocm温度及地面最高温度千年历史资料序列。运用乘积平均值、误差缩减值等方法对重建方程进行了检验，证明重建序列可信。通过分析发现，在重建的1098年中，有6个主要的冷期和6个主要的暖期，地面0cm温度序列存在12个主要突变期，地面最高温度序列存在15个主要突变期。周期分析表明，地面0cm温度和地面最高温度均存在183年、122年和91年左右的长周期以及6．8年和2～3年的短周期。  相似文献   

Impacts of Previous Winter Kuroshio SSTA on Summer Rainfall in China     

LI Zhongxian  SUN Zhaobo  NI Donghong  ZENG Gang 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2005,19(1):76-82

1. IntroductionAs well known, Kuroshio is a famous and strongwest boundary current in the North Pacific. It trans-fers enormous energy from the low latitudes to themid-high latitudes and releases huge heat flux to theatmosphere above (Hsiung, 1985). The variation ofKuroshio exerts great influence on weather and cli-mate in East Asian.During 1950-60s, Lü (1950, 1964) found that thewestern North Pacific SSTA had a close relation withsummer rainfall in China. In the 1970s, evidencesshowed…  相似文献   

大气环流的季节突变与季风的建立II·个别年份南海夏季风的情况   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张铭  张东凌  左瑞亭  何卷雄  曾庆存 《气候与环境研究》2005,(3)

将流的标准化变差度概念应用到各年南海夏季风建立研究中去,并用其作为大气环流调整的客观定量指标。用该指标定义的南海夏季风建立的预兆日期与用传统天气气候学方法确定的南海夏季风的来临日期,在绝大多数具体年份两者均很接近,故可作南海夏季风建立的先兆指标。但有一些年份,南海季风的建立不伴随着低空环流的突变过程,两种方法都可能不准确,可靠的方法也许是用场相似度作指标。此外,南海夏季风建立前,对流层顶和平流层下层就出现了环流调整,该调整为南海夏季风建立打下基础,而南海夏季风爆发则表现为低空环流的大调整。南海夏季风的爆发是高、低空全球大气环流发生显著调整的结果,并非限于南海范围局部,南海夏季风建立不能看作是发生在南海的局部现象。  相似文献   

Changes in the spatial scale of Beijing UHI and urban development   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

YU Shuqiu  BIAN Lingen  LIN Xuechun 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2005,48(Z2)

The seasonal and interannual variations of Beijing urban heat island (UHI) are investigated in this paper using the temperature data from 1960 to 2000 at 20 meteorological stations in the Beijing region, and then the relationship between the intensity and spatial scale of UHI and Beijing urbanization indices is analyzed and discussed. Main conclusions are the followings. First, Beijing UHI shows obvious seasonal variations, and it is strongest in winter, next in spring and autumn, and least in summer. The seasonal variation of the UHI mainly occurs in the urban area. The UHI intensity at the center of Beijing is more than 0.8℃ in winter, and only 0.5℃ in summer. Second, the intensity of Beijing HUI exhibits a clear interannual warming trend with its mean growth rate (MGR) being 0.3088℃/10 a. The MGR of HUI is largest in winter, next in spring and autumn, and least in summer, and the urban temperature increase makes a major contribution to the growth of HUI intensity. Third, since the Reform and Opening, the urbanization indices have grown several ten times or even one hundred times, the intensity of HUI has increased dramatically, and its spatial scale also expanded distinctively along with the expansion of urban architectural complexes. Fourth, the interannual variation of urbanization indices is very similar with that of HUI intensity, and their linear correlation coefficients are significant at a more than 0.001 confidence level.  相似文献   

Effects of spatially structured vegetation patterns on hillslope erosion in a semiarid Mediterranean environment: a simulation study   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Matthias Boer  Juan Puigdefbregas 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2005,30(2):149-167

A general trend of decreasing soil loss rates with increasing vegetation cover fraction is widely accepted. Field observations and experimental work, however, show that the form of the cover‐erosion function can vary considerably, in particular for low cover conditions that prevail on arid and semiarid hillslopes. In this paper the structured spatial distribution of the vegetation cover and associated soil attributes is proposed as one of the possible causes of variation in cover–erosion relationships, in particular in dryland environments where patchy vegetation covers are common. A simulation approach was used to test the hypothesis that hillslope discharge and soil loss could be affected by variation in the spatial correlation structure of coupled vegetation cover and soil patterns alone. The Limburg Soil Erosion Model (LISEM) was parameterized and verified for a small catchment with discontinuous vegetation cover at Rambla Honda, SE Spain. Using the same parameter sets LISEM was subsequently used to simulate water and sediment fluxes on 1 ha hypothetical hillslopes with simulated spatial distributions of vegetation and soil parameters. Storms of constant rainfall intensity in the range of 30–70 mm h^?1 and 10–30 min duration were applied. To quantify the effect of the spatial correlation structure of the vegetation and soil patterns, predicted discharge and soil loss rates from hillslopes with spatially structured distributions of vegetation and soil parameters were compared with those from hillslopes with spatially uniform distributions. The results showed that the spatial organization of bare and vegetated surfaces alone can have a substantial impact on predicted storm discharge and erosion. In general, water and sediment yields from hillslopes with spatially structured distributions of vegetation and soil parameters were greater than from identical hillslopes with spatially uniform distributions. Within a storm the effect of spatially structured vegetation and soil patterns was observed to be highly dynamic, and to depend on rainfall intensity and slope gradient. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

新疆库鲁克塔格地区二叠纪脉岩群岩石地球化学特征，Nd、Sr、Pb同位素组成与岩石成因   总被引：12，自引：22，他引：12       下载免费PDF全文

姜常义姜寒冰  叶书锋夏明哲 逯东霞 《地质学报》2005,79(6):823-833

库鲁克塔格地区二叠纪脉岩群非常发育,主要岩石类型是辉绿岩,并有少量的斜闪煌斑岩、斜长玢岩和花岗斑岩。花岗斑岩属高钾钙碱性系列,具有A型花岗岩的稀土元素和微量元素地球化学特征;斜长玢岩的地球化学特征与花岗斑岩相似,二者都亏损U、Nb、Ta。斜闪煌斑岩的岩石化学组成属过碱性系列,显著富集轻稀土元素和大离子亲石元素。辉绿岩的岩石化学组成以钙碱性系列为主,稀土元素总量变化较大,Cs、Rb、Ba、Th元素丰度变化大,普遍亏损U、Nb、Ta。研究证明,辉绿岩脉的这些地球化学特征都与同化混染作用有关,大离子亲石元素丰度的变化还与热液蚀变有关。辉绿岩具有富集型Nd、Sr同位素组成,且变化范围大,是岩浆源区同化混染作用的结果。它们的铅同位素组成属低U(Th)/Pb值的正常铅,主要受混染物控制,并不代表源区特征。库鲁克塔格地区岩石圈地幔Nd、Sr、Pb同位素比塔里木板块西缘岩石圈地幔的富集程度更高,且变化范围大,反映了这两个地区岩石圈地幔的演化历史存在明显差异。  相似文献